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January 28, 2026 14:53 (London Time)

UBS Group AG

UBS plans to offer Bitcoin and ethereum trading to select group of Swiss-based private bank clients. Wolf Richter says the original federal subsidies ran out for Tesla in 2018 when the Model 3 sales exceeded the cap, and people thought sales would collapse. UBS is in the process of selecting partners to spearhead its digital asset strategy. Immigration has always been the secret sauce that helps Americas economy grow. Daron Acemoglu sees in the public executions of US citizens by federal agents a move to turn the entire US into a border zone. Last year alone mortgage debt increased close to $800 billion - almost 7% of GDP. Mortgage debt isnt a concern and lending standards are much better now than during the housing bubble. Chicago leads all cities for a second consecutive month with a 5.7% price increase. Discrimination against White men rose significantly in America starting in the mid-2010s. China Shock 2.0 is where China is aggressively contesting the innovative sectors where the U.S. has long been the unquestioned leader. Deindustrialization sounds peaceful and easy and pleasant, but its not. Americans now disapprove of ICE and support protests against the agency, according to a new poll conducted the same day a federal officer fatally shot a 37-year-old mother in Minneapolis. A persistent discount reveals more than sentiment, exposing constraints in how liquidity moves between venues, how ETF flows translate to spot execution, and whether arbitrage. US Marshals Service investigating claims $40 million in confiscated digital assets were siphoned from government-linked wallets. 50% of companies earning over $500 million annually accept digital assets. China has essentially the entire EV supply-chain in-country, and has attained massive scale. Global oil discoveries are badly lagging consumption, says Rystad Energy. Bitwise registered a Delaware statutory trust for a potential Uniswap-linked exchange-traded fund. The SEC has pulled back from at least 17 major enforcement cases brought against crypto firms.
Sector: Capital Markets
Ticker: UBS
Sentiment: 0.975
MarketCap: 56.89B
High: 49.36 Low: 48.79

Open: 49.27 Close: 49.25 Change: -0.02

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January 28, 2026 7:22 (London Time)

Eli Lilly and Company

Canada got a standing ovation in Davos for starkly describing end of Pax Americana. House prices are under pressure and might turn negative year-over-year sometime in 2026. Rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. Retail is slowly waking up to buying gold and silver – peak prosperity. We also cover debt levels, the Japanese bond situation and more. Transcripts are available for our Peak Insiders. Americans personal income rose 4.3% year-over-year in November to an annual rate of $26.4. Young people are deeply into cryptos, and young people are invested in stocks. Wolf Richter says inflation rate was not 50% over the past 5 years. America owns way more gold than any other entity. Russell: I wake up on a day like today where Nasdaq is down 1.5%, I know Im gonna see a bunch of emails, ah, you told us to stay long and look, were down one point a half percent today. Were up 17% for the year and the NASDAQs up 23%. Not even negative nominal interest rates will extricate governments largess. Trump administration has slashed funding for global humanitarian assistance and health programs. A study by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health and other organizations found that US and European aid cuts could together cause up to 22.6 million additional deaths. The idea that ISIS was created by the CIA absolves you from having to grapple with challenging and unfamiliar ideas, and plunging into the complexities of Islamic doctrine, the Muslim Brotherhood and the Islamic doctrine. The creation of irregular militant forces by intelligence agencies and states is NOT a function of existing ideologies or histories as much as it is simply the employment of criminals. Immigration agents are sagging morale and declining standards are a constant theme, says Yves Smith. Germany has 1,236 tons of gold held at the Federal Reserve Bank in New York. UK seized $2 billion of Venezuelan gold held in Bank of England. Pressure on China to allow the yuan to appreciate significantly would defuse trade tensions. Military–Industrial–Venture Complex risks becoming destabilizing force in international politics. There are signs that Japan is already beginning its industrial revival. The Nikkei 225 index has been on a tear recently. Japan isnt close to hitting the 30% target that former PM Abe set out. Noah Smith: Where does a liberal go from here? Our movement overreached and crashed. Any new liberal project will probably be forced to endure years of retrenchment and soul-searching. Only Elon has built China-like manufacturing businesses in America, says Smith. Bitcoin BTC (24h) $89,255.76 +1.23% In this article ZachXBT, Zach XBT, Person +0, is writing a summary of the days events. ZRO (+15%), AXS (+10%) and DASH (+8%) led top movers. Ledger preparing for $4B IPO. Rhode Island lawmakers introduced Senate Bill S2021 to exempt small Bitcoin transactions from state income and capital gains taxes. Steak n Shake has increased its Bitcoin exposure by an additional $5 million in notional value. Bitcoin faces macro uncertainty with impending US shutdown. Ledger preparing for $4B IPO, enlisting Goldman Sachs, Jefferies and Barclays for support. DASH (+60%), IP (+30%) and XMR (+13%) led top movers. XMR hit another new ATH at $680 (now $640) Gold and Silver hit new AThs again in the wake of Powell investigation. Arctic Storm Fern has curbed electricity supply to millions of people across the eastern two-thirds of the United States, slashing oil supply by 2 million b/day, gas production by more than 10 bcf/day. Tethers USAT stablecoin is now available for trading and will be issued by Anchorage Digital. Decarbonization by 2050 is not a self-executing policy; it is a long-term structural transformation of energy systems, industries, and societies. Cushing inventory fell by 92,000 barrels, after increasing by 1.2 million barrels in the prior week. Oil supertanker markets stay red-hot as sanctions bite.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Ticker: LLY
Sentiment: 0.6238
MarketCap: 307.99B
High: 1073.39 Low: 1034.81

Open: 1062.38 Close: 1039.51 Change: -22.87

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January 27, 2026 23:00 (London Time)

TotalEnergies SE

The bond market is (so far) unconvinced. Nearly half of investors plan to increase exposure to hedge funds, Goldman Sachs survey finds. The idea that ISIS was created by the CIA and “MI6” absolves. The dam is breaking, with Republicans more directly questioning the administration. Trump has signalled a shift in his administrations immigration crackdown as he seeks to quell the growing furore over the killing of a man by federal agents in Minnesota. Gold is not at all like cash or US Treasuries because it has no counterparty risk. Big money is well-advised money, and it has apparently been advised to pile into the only Tier 0 monetary asset. 30-year yield of Japanese Government Bonds exploded by 30 basis points today and by 42 basis points over the past two days, to 3.91%. Wolf Richter says Scott Bessent seems like he is taking over as the guy at every accident or calamity that is shouting “nothing happened, nothing to see here” The Big Picture Home Invest with Barry Ritholtz and Wolf Street talk about the economy. The top 1% of households now hold almost one-third of the nations wealth. Wolf Wolf says that theres too much chaos and uncertainty right now for businesses to do any real investing, but plenty of reason for them to do some stockpiling. Russell Investments CEO says hes optimistic that theres an enormous amount of value creation to come from AI. The tension between balance and dynamism will define Chinese economic policy in the year ahead. MBS/Treasury spreads narrowed by a whopping 15 bp from mid-afternoon Wednesday to Friday. Negative OAS hasnt been seen since January of 2022, when the Federal Reserve was still engaged in its ill-fated expansion. Housing inventory decreased to 1.18 million in December from 1.44 million the previous month. Katz suggests concrete policy changes that could encourage more high-growth startups. Katz also calls for government to rescue fewer failed companies. There are signs that Japan is already beginning its industrial revival. Julian Zelizer: The project of creating economic security and abundance for the vast bulk of humanity. Noah Smith: The key test of Trumps China policy is whether he keeps the export controls on chips and chipmaking equipment. Zelizer was raised a liberal, in late 20th century America. Bitcoin price steadied a bit today after an early slide to $86,000 over the weekend. BitMine Immersion Technologies acquired another 40,302 ETH, valued around $116 million, over the course of the last week. Bitcoin mining activity slowed during a winter storm as operators curtailed power use. American Bitcoin has increased its bitcoin reserves to roughly 5,843 BTC, placing it among the worlds largest corporate holders of the cryptocurrency. The theme of this weeks roundup is “self-inflicted harm by the worlds Great Powers” Bitcoin traders are dealing with short-dated hedging demand and sharper moves around incremental legislative updates. The transmission to Bitcoin depends on whether the lapse disrupts core economic data releases and whether ETF outflows accelerate. The SEC dropped its Gemini Earn lawsuit earlier this week, adding to a list of many other cases already closed off. Australia is progressing digital-asset licensing laws that would require crypto custody and trading platforms to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence. U.S. natural gas production has reportedly dropped to 9.9 billion cu ft daily since start of the month. PetroChina is refraining from buying crude marketed by the worlds top oil trading houses – with U.S. blessing – as it assesses the situation. Canada has the opportunity to work with India now that it sees its high dependence on the US. Canada Looks to Boost Energy Exports to India in Strategy Reset.
Sector: Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Ticker: TTE
Sentiment: -0.4349
MarketCap: 130.94B
High: 70.44 Low: 69.85

Open: 70.3 Close: 70.4 Change: 0.1

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January 27, 2026 16:19 (London Time)

One Equity Partners Open Water I

Chicago leads all major markets with a 5.8% annual price gain, followed New York at 5.0% and Cleveland at 4.1%. Low existing mortgage rates make it difficult for homeowners to sell their homes. Ben and Sam Luhmann are teenage brothers who actively patrol their community to track and film ICE raids. Jesse Ventura is a good sign to have people like him taking the righteous side here. Auge is a region in Normandy, in French, in Normandy. The CDC is still soft-pedaling as much as they can. ISIS prisoners will be distributed across high-security prisons throughout Iraq with the ultimate aim of repatriating the majority to their home countries. ISIS began in 2006 in Iraq as a result of the feud between the vanguard intellectuals of AQ and populist radicals who wanted to found the Caliphate now. DHS agents have “Total Immunity” according to JD Vance and others. DHS will double down and I do not expect any prosecution of the the agents involved because they have Total Immunity Peak Prosperity rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. Retail is slowly waking up to buying gold and silver – peak prosperity. Price of gasoline has plunged off the peak of the spike in mid-2022, EIA data shows. In India 6KW roof top solar set up costs ₹300,000 ($3500 max) with government subsidy. 30-year yield of Japanese Government Bonds exploded by 30 basis points today and by 42 basis points over the past two days, to 3.91%. Japans 256% debt level a bit illusory? If half is owned by the central bank, hasnt that half been monetized and extinguished from a practical standpoint? Consumers outspent inflation at a solid clip despite their sour mood, despite the wailing and gnashing of teeth in the media, and despite the government shutdown, despite massive job losses at federal and state governments. Spending on services accounted for 66% of total consumer spending. America owns way more gold than any other entity on the planet, and that asset class is seeing huge increases. Peak Prosperity rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. US government could yet again get partially shut down this week if Senate refuses to pass the spending bills by January 31, 2026. Past evidence suggests good old American deficit spending does spike inflation. J.P. Singh sees in Donald Trump the antithesis of the values that made America so prosperous. J. Singh: Tariffs are more destructive than you think by şebnem Kalemli-Özcan - Project Syndicate. The killings of two innocent civilians by federal immigration agents in Minneapolis may mark a turning point for the US. Mortgage debt has been increasing for years, but the last four years have seen a tremendous increase in debt. Last year alone mortgage debt increased close to $800 Billion - almost 7% of GDP. After four consecutive months of mild decline, occupancy fell to 94.8% in November. Russell Russell says he is still positive on AI and how much more room to run we have. Housing starts decreased to 1.246 million annual rate in October. Recent Quant Mashup is a curated mashup of quantitative trading links. This is a summary of links recently featured on Quantocracy as of Monday, 12/15/2025. Why Everyone Loves Japan creates a key opportunity for that island nation to revive its economy. Global Entrepreneurship Monitor shows Japan lagging many other rich countries in terms of total entrepreneurial activity as of 2022. Katz suggests a number of concrete policy changes that could encourage more high-growth startups. Semiconductor industry is probably the most important industry in the world. A Japan Life Pass would help foreigners with all of these things. The pass would also offer special Japanese language classes, exclusively for holders of the pass. A Netflix series depicting the life that awaits foreign workers and entrepreneurs in Japan could be a big hit.
Sector: Blank Check / SPAC
Ticker: OEPW
Sentiment: 0.985
MarketCap: 424.78M
High: 0.0 Low: 0.0

Open: 0.0 Close: 0.0 Change: 0.0

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